BYU vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Odds, and Key Players for College Football Week 11
The most anticipated Big 12 game of the season will take place this Saturday. This matchup could serve as a preview of this year's Big 12 championship game.
The BYU Cougars remain the only undefeated team in the conference with a 5-0 record. The Texas Tech Red Raiders hold a 5-1 record in Big 12 play. Should Texas Tech win, a rematch in the conference championship appears likely. If BYU wins, Texas Tech may need additional favorable outcomes to secure their championship spot.
Key Defensive Player: David Bailey
Texas Tech’s defense is anchored by college football's sack leader, David Bailey, who has recorded 11.5 sacks this season—1.5 more than any other player nationally. Bailey also contributes 26 total tackles and two forced fumbles. His ability to disrupt the BYU offense will be crucial for the Red Raiders’ chances to win and cover the spread.
Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses
The primary strength of the Texas Tech defense lies in stopping the run. They rank first in opponent rush Expected Points Added (EPA) and allow just 2.4 yards per carry, the third-fewest in the country. Conversely, their vulnerability is in pass defense.
BYU, being a run-first team with 57.23% of their plays as running plays, will face a tough challenge against the Red Raiders’ stout run defense.
"If he can disrupt the BYU offense, the Red Raiders are going to be in a great spot to win and cover in this game."
Below is a summary of the main points:
- BYU is the only undefeated team in the Big 12, at 5-0.
- Texas Tech is 5-1 in conference play and features the nation’s sack leader, David Bailey.
- Texas Tech excels against the run but struggles more against the pass.
- BYU relies heavily on the running game, presenting a key matchup dynamic.
Author’s Summary
This Big 12 clash hinges on Texas Tech’s ability to limit BYU’s run game and Bailey’s impact, with the game likely deciding the conference title path for both teams.
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