Wall Street approaches 2026 with the S&P 500 S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average at unprecedented peaks, marking the second-highest stock valuations in 155 years based on the Shiller P/E ratio. These major indexes have surged into uncharted territory over recent months, driven by strong gains. History signals potential trouble ahead for investors amid such elevated levels.
Past periods of premium valuations, like those before the dot-com bubble and the 2022 bear market, led to sharp declines: the S&P 500 dropped 49% and Nasdaq lost 78% post-1999, while 2022 erased 25% from S&P 500 and over a third from Nasdaq. The Shiller P/E ratio, a reliable gauge, now foreshadows similar risks despite long-term optimism for cycles. Investors face ominous precedents when markets appear overly rich.
Author's summary: Wall Street's key indexes stand at record highs, entering 2026 as the second-most expensive market in 155 years per Shiller P/E, with history warning of steep corrections like dot-com and 2022 bears. (148 characters)